I've got a foot in each camp here. I work in radio, and I'm a radio listener (these comments represent no-one's views other than my own!).
To answer your points, Clare -
- Would another scrappage scheme for FM radios be of interest?
Are there reliable, independently-audited figures for how successful the last one was? From a sustainability point of view, there's no justification for attempting to entice people to buy something they don't need, with which to replace something that's probably working just fine for them at the moment.
- How key is the quality arguement?
Being realistic: not very. The average listener, listening to an average DAB portable, can't tell the difference between stations using different bitrates. When I'm in the studio, listening off air in an acoustically-tuned environment on quality speakers at a decent level and A-B'ing between FM and DAB receivers, it's easy to tell the difference. And by direct comparison such as that, DAB sounds pretty shoddy. But the average listener isn't doing that. What's more important to them is robustness of signal; if they can get a signal at all, and if they can, if it stays strong enough to be useable.
Spare me the 'high fidelity' snobbery. I will be very sad indeed if the point ever comes - and I am by no means convinced that it will - when FM is switched off. R3 on FM is one of the great pleasures of life. But how often do I sit down in front of the big speakers to listen to an evening of R3? Hardly ever.
As long as the audio is of a reasonable quality for average listeners, the quality argument is more or less irrelevant. DAB listeners like convenience - easy to tune, no frequencies to remember - and a signal that's either there or it isn't.
- Is DAB the right format?
No. FM is cheaper and more efficient, for broadcasters (transmission infrastructure costs less) and for listeners (FM receivers cheaper to buy and run). If DAB were the right format, we wouldn't still be having these discussions fifteen years into its lifespan. Were people still debating the future of FM in 1970? Of colour TV in 1980?
Hours of listening to DAB radio (RAJAR, Q4, 2010): 166 million. Hours of listening to all radio: 1,045 million. So in fifteen years, DAB manages to grow to just over 10% of listening hours?
Don't get me wrong, I have DAB, I use it (albeit rarely to listen to any station that's not available to me on FM), it's convenient, the receiver is a cool gadget. But none of that means it's the right format.
- Does none of this matter as we're all going online anyway?
Got it in one. Hours of listening to radio via internet up 54.9% year on year (RAJAR, Q4, 2010). Sorry, Clare, but your fellow guests next week might as well be discussing the future of the Baird television system, or the propellor-engined airliner.
And do beware; some loud voices in the radio world would like to reap any benefits from any future developments, as long as they don't have to pay for them. This is not in the interest of the listener. You may encounter some next week.