Well, assuming Clare has taken a well-earned break from the forums (she has to sleep sometime, you know!), I'll answer this one. Sorry to disappoint you, but we honestly have no idea. There are more stand-alone Blu-ray players coming to market than HD DVD players for now (only Toshiba, Onkyo and Ventura have announced HD DVD players in the run-up to Christmas, while we have Blu-ray players from Sony, Sharp, Samsung, Philips, Panasonic and Denon).
That said, some film studios are backing HD DVD exclusively, including Paramount. But with the advent of new dual-format players from LG and Samsung, both formats could co-exist for some time, just as SACD and DVD-Audio have. It's frustrating, I know, but no-one really has a clue how this is going to pan out. Wish we did!