Question Will Hi-Fi Disappear Within a Generation?

Fandango Andy

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Jun 10, 2020
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I’ve recently been told that there will be no such thing as Hi-Fi within a generation. A bold claim, but is it true? And what does the future really hold? Personally, I think the landscape won’t look all that different here are a few thoughts.

We’re unlikely to see any brand-new formats for physical media, which means CDs and vinyl records will still be with us. Without new formats, there’ll be no new sources. CD players will probably move towards being transport-only, as most people will already own a DAC. The vinyl bubble may eventually burst, but it will never truly disappear, while the cassette revival is likely to fizzle out.

On the electronics side, could Class D become the dominant choice at both entry-level and high-end, thanks to its discreet compact size? If so, perhaps Class A/B will be left to mid-range specialists and die-hard enthusiasts. Streamers with built-in screens are becoming more common, will we start seeing more music streaming directly via our TV sets? And as the market changes, expect fewer brands as mergers continue and some companies inevitably fall away.

AI will play a growing role in loudspeaker design, making speakers easier to position and more forgiving of less-than-perfect placement, even when sitting on shelves or benches. Similarly, home acoustic treatments will become less obtrusive, more affordable, and, with AI’s help, easier to set up for optimal results.

So, while the tools and technology may evolve, Hi-Fi is a means to an end, and still the best way to listen to music, so will be with us for many years to come. And, people will still be arguing over cables, and upgrade unnecessarily in their pursuit of unicorns.
 
Let's consider each assertion with a critical view. Everyone comes with its one.
And then : so what? Our world is about to disappear. There is no real worry to have about hifi.

Loudness has became the standard on many mainstream supports. Blue Note, Deutsche Grammophon and others carry on crafting good supports. Tidal & Qobuz are continuously improving their services that are quite good for the moment.

Servers to provide files are consuming too much energy and are bound to disappear.
Raw materials as well are more and more complex to extract in awful conditions (kids in the mine....) to extract rare earths.
Problems of supply chain (cobalts & political tensions), recycling (terrible impact on the environment) and substitution : no alternative.

I didn't get your point. Hifi disappearance... ok but after that?
 
First explain what 'Hifi' is. A decent set of headphones and a phone can imho easily be Hifi.

If we are talking lavish High-End, such as shown at the Munich show ... yes, I believe it will slowly dminish if not completely die out. The 50 pluses that usually attend this sort of event and which have the necessary disposable income will have gone but there will always be the odd oligarch.

The reason High end as above will disappear is simply modern living. We do not have the space anymore that the last few generations had. Living spaces are getting smaller and property more expensive.
 
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If I may, draw an analogy with digital cameras, the advent of the smart phones it was attested by the experts, that this would be the nail in the coffin for the camera industry.
I recall back in the day; when I was carrying around my Motorola brick phone, it had that chunky black moulded plastic antennae that made all the girls blush, I also had my dinky little Sony digital camera.

All that glorious 6 MP pixels were at my disposal. It was the biz, and that gay thin strap band holding my camera and swinging violently left to right from my wrist, the world was my oyster!

Who would have thought, that two became one when I received my first clamshell smart phone from Samsung.
True, nobody buys portable digital cameras anymore, why? There's no need your smart phone does all that and more.

Yes it did galvanise digital camera sales but there's a flipside, with almost every adult and adolescent having a smartphone in their possession, it generated a genuine interest in photography. People want to capture clever photo's often beyond the capability of smart phones.

I don't have the data but trust me on this 🙂, more and more people became interested in photography. It had a positive effect on the top end of the camera industry.
It started with DSLR's and people are now switching to Mirrorless cameras.

So what's my point?

If we are to believe Hifi won't exist in a generations time, I think it will exist...................... but

........................................."It's life Hifi, Jim, but not as we know it".


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They thought radio would lose out when TV arrived. And cinema would die off too.

Today we have thousands of radio stations, what seems like millions of podcasts, plus YouTube, Sky and so on. Yet we still have BBC and ITV, and cinemas.

Hifi will definitely change, but ironically retro seems to be the boom area. Wide baffle speakers, tube amps, record players, the hundredth type of LS3/5a!
 
They thought radio would lose out when TV arrived. And cinema would die off too.

Today we have thousands of radio stations, what seems like millions of podcasts, plus YouTube, Sky and so on. Yet we still have BBC and ITV, and cinemas.

Hifi will definitely change, but ironically retro seems to be the boom area. Wide baffle speakers, tube amps, record players, the hundredth type of LS3/5a!
Yep it will certainly change in appearance but which way will depend on the buying public.
LPs haven't disappeared as predicted so I doubt they will anytime soon.
Perhaps more discrete one box systems will prevail, who knows but disappearing altogether I very much doubt it.
 
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Things change! Shellac and reel-to-reel died and cassettes are pretty much dead. None of them are really missed. Same can be said of VHS.

The DVD/Blu-ray market is waning. Newspapers and magazines don't sell in anything like the quantities they used to. Cinema attendance is about half what it was in 2000. We are losing a pub a day in this country.

It's called progress, whether for good or bad.

If I were a youngster, keen on reasonable quality, I think I'd look at an AV system with music streaming and Netflix etc. Probably would have saved me a load of cash spent on record, CD, DVD.

That said, I wouldn't be without my physical collection. (Yes, I do have music streaming and Netflix etc!! and I am still buying vinyl and CD - though not a video format for ages.)
 
The DVD/Blu-ray market is waning. Newspapers and magazines don't sell in anything like the quantities they used to. Cinema attendance is about half what it was in 2000. We are losing a pub a day in this country.
I used to buy Blu-ray and even 4K Blu-ray disks fairly regularly until the last few years. It’s related to cinema audiences dropping. Very few decent films any more. DEI is killing Hollywood.

I was paying a fortune for a newspaper to be delivered. Acquisition of an iPad allowed me to subscribe digitally for a fraction of the price and allows me to read the paper anywhere in the world.

Youngsters don’t want to visit pubs. Drinks too expensive and drink / drive laws make it difficult. The influx of many foreigners who don’t drink alcohol is also a factor.

Back to the original question. No but the number interested in it will reduce. Everything is about what a smartphone can do. It can’t do hi-fi except to run a streamer app. Consequently prices for equipment might rise making it a niche market.

I’m happy with my kit. I just wish I hadn’t suffered an attack of viral labyrinthitis that has reduced treble in one ear. But I’m still breathing which has to be a positive. 👍
 
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Everybody has the same record collection
Everybody has the same film collection
Everybody has the same book collection
Just the means of replay/Viewing has changed

Hifi has been in decline for 40years now
Mobile & Active speaker all 99% of the planet Needs , Wants or in Budget

The 1% will continue to buy Hifi & Physical media
Big Streamer & Big Active speakers
 

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